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Since its development, the minimax framework has been one of the cornerstones of theoretical statistics, and has contributed to the popularity of many well-known estimators, such as the regularized M-estimators for high-dimensional problems. In this paper, we will first show through the example of sparse Gaussian sequence model, that the theoretical results under the classical minimax framework are insufficient for explaining empirical observations. In particular, both hard and soft thresholding estimators are (asymptotically) minimax, however, in practice they often exhibit sub-optimal performances at various signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) levels. The first contribution of this paper is to demonstrate that this issue can be resolved if the signal-to-noise ratio is taken into account in the construction of the parameter space. We call the resulting minimax framework the signal-to-noise ratio aware minimaxity. The second contribution of this paper is to showcase how one can use higher-order asymptotics to obtain accurate approximations of the SNR-aware minimax risk and discover minimax estimators. The theoretical findings obtained from this refined minimax framework provide new insights and practical guidance for the estimation of sparse signals.more » « less
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Abstract International large-scale assessments (ILSAs) play an important role in educational research and policy making. They collect valuable data on education quality and performance development across many education systems, giving countries the opportunity to share techniques, organisational structures, and policies that have proven efficient and successful. To gain insights from ILSA data, we identify non-cognitive variables associated with students’ academic performance. This problem has three analytical challenges: (a) academic performance is measured by cognitive items under a matrix sampling design; (b) there are many missing values in the non-cognitive variables; and (c) multiple comparisons due to a large number of non-cognitive variables. We consider an application to the Programme for International Student Assessment, aiming to identify non-cognitive variables associated with students’ performance in science. We formulate it as a variable selection problem under a general latent variable model framework and further propose a knockoff method that conducts variable selection with a controlled error rate for false selections.more » « less
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